Was Franz Baur’s Infamous Long-Range Weather Forecast for the Winter of 1941/42 on the Eastern Front Really Wrong?

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract In October 1941, Nazi Germany’s High Command realized that the war against Soviet Union could not be ended before winter. The German professor Franz Baur prepared a long-range weather forecast for winter of 1941/42. never revealed anything about this forecast. However, according to an article published 10 years after Baur’s death, predicted 1941/42 would normal or milder than normal, primarily based on main argument previous two winters had been very severe and in climatic history more occurred row. up being one worst. Today, prognoses from wartime are public. article, it is shown description prognosis incorrect. problematic relationship with his colleagues, so possible story incorrect due personal professional contradictions. postulated destroyed reputation. Based original scientific history, shows judgment was too harsh unfair.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1520-0477', '0003-0007']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0310.1